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Crown Green Handicap

Nick Kavanagh

Team: Port Sunlight Village & Works BDivision: League 3Last updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

721

Current Handicap

12
Honours
Season:

113

Matches Played

44

Wins

69

Losses

39%

Win Rate

8.6

Avg Win Margin

8.5

Avg Loss Margin

28-29

Home Record

16-40

Away Record

100%

Handicap Confidence

Very Reliable
63 / 39 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 8/21/2026

A large recent sample: 63 matches in the 2024, 2025, 2026 window, comfortably past the 39-match benchmark for full confidence. The handicap is stable and only shifts as form changes.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: 50 Wins44/50
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 113 matches

+12 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

24 May6 Aug5 Aug23 Jun3 Jun23 Aug21 Jul8 Jun21 Aug-14916

Gives 12 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current12
Win Percentage(40%)
51%
score+0.02→contribution+0.01
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
8.9
score+0.15→contribution+0.04
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
7.4
score+0.10→contribution+0.02
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
60%
score+0.20→contribution+0.02
Opponent Strength(10%)
680
score-0.37→contribution-0.04
Weighted Score+0.041
Sample Size Confidence
100%(63/39 matches)
Rating1021 → shrunk 1021→ adjusted 721
Recent 3-Season Rating (2024, 2025, 2026)721
Recency Blend40% (63 recent matches)
Final Rating721
Handicap
12

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 500). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 39, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

44W69L113 matches·38.9% win rate
+13 since first recorded
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Port Sunlight Village & Works B2021–2026League 3113446938.9%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
8/21/2026Linda GrahamH21-7WIN+14LeagueLeague 3
8/17/2026Colin WilsonA21-8WIN+13LeagueLeague 3
8/14/2026Glen BaileyA11-21LOSS-10LeagueLeague 3
8/7/2026Laura CarrollH21-13WIN+8LeagueLeague 3
7/31/2026Alan SimpsonA21-15WIN+6LeagueLeague 3
7/27/2026Neil HenningA21-20WIN+1LeagueLeague 3
7/24/2026Martin SomervilleH21-4WIN+17LeagueLeague 3
7/17/2026Liz WhiteleyA21-13WIN+8LeagueLeague 3
7/6/2026Hazel MorganH21-15WIN+6LeagueLeague 3
7/3/2026Adam HowarthA18-21LOSS-3LeagueLeague 3
6/26/2026Sharon LeechA18-21LOSS-3LeagueLeague 3
6/22/2026Eddie ShiffH21-18WIN+3LeagueLeague 3
6/19/2026Simon ThompsonA16-21LOSS-5LeagueLeague 3
6/15/2026Sue MargerisonH21-7WIN+14LeagueLeague 3
6/12/2026Roderick PrinceH21-17WIN+4LeagueLeague 3
6/8/2026Jeremy BradshawH19-21LOSS-2LeagueLeague 3
6/5/2026Jeremy BradshawA5-21LOSS-16LeagueLeague 3
5/29/2026Sandra TaylorA18-21LOSS-3LeagueLeague 3
5/22/2026Eddie ThomasH21-11WIN+10LeagueLeague 3
5/18/2026Brian LusseyH15-21LOSS-6LeagueLeague 3
5/1/2026Lynn BaileyH9-21LOSS-12LeagueLeague 3
4/24/2026Debbie RobertsA21-18WIN+3LeagueLeague 3
4/20/2026Mandy GreenH21-18WIN+3LeagueLeague 3
8/22/2025Steve PrestonA21-14WIN+7LeagueLeague 3
8/18/2025Paul FouldsH12-21LOSS-9LeagueLeague 3
8/15/2025Dave EdwardsA21-9WIN+12LeagueLeague 3
8/11/2025John KayllH21-1WIN+20LeagueLeague 3
8/4/2025Stephen WheeldonH21-13WIN+8LeagueLeague 3
7/21/2025Michael DabbsH19-21LOSS-2LeagueLeague 3
7/18/2025Frank CantA21-5WIN+16LeagueLeague 3
7/11/2025Alan WelchH21-6WIN+15LeagueLeague 3
7/7/2025Eddy CarvellA13-21LOSS-8LeagueLeague 3
7/4/2025Tom FrancomsH21-9WIN+12LeagueLeague 3
6/27/2025Philip TaylorH21-10WIN+11LeagueLeague 3
6/20/2025vs Pensby BA18-21LOSS-3LeagueLeague 3
6/13/2025Gordon DitchfieldH18-21LOSS-3LeagueLeague 3
6/9/2025Jim IvanoffA21-15WIN+6LeagueLeague 3
6/6/2025Keith BarlowA12-21LOSS-9LeagueLeague 3
5/30/2025Raymond MarrsH21-7WIN+14LeagueLeague 3
5/9/2025Pat McloughlinA21-12WIN+9LeagueLeague 3
5/2/2025Sue JenkinsH8-21LOSS-13LeagueLeague 3
4/25/2025Laura BrowseA21-15WIN+6LeagueLeague 3
8/23/2024Stephen ThomasH13-21LOSS-8LeagueLeague 3
8/12/2024Colin WolfarthA15-21LOSS-6LeagueLeague 3
8/5/2024Zoe StrattonH10-21LOSS-11LeagueLeague 3
8/2/2024Bill ClaytonA5-21LOSS-16LeagueLeague 3
7/26/2024Philip JacksonH21-20WIN+1LeagueLeague 3
7/19/2024Terry ScottA12-21LOSS-9LeagueLeague 3
7/15/2024Mike BoydH16-21LOSS-5LeagueLeague 3
7/12/2024Pat McloughlinA19-21LOSS-2LeagueLeague 3
7/5/2024Phil MountfordH7-21LOSS-14LeagueLeague 3
6/28/2024Ray PoustieH21-16WIN+5LeagueLeague 3
6/24/2024Edward ConnorA18-21LOSS-3LeagueLeague 3
6/21/2024vs Bebington ParkA21-8WIN+13LeagueLeague 3
6/14/2024Steve BallH21-19WIN+2LeagueLeague 3
6/7/2024Jeff LawleyA12-21LOSS-9LeagueLeague 3
6/3/2024Deborah SilcockH21-16WIN+5LeagueLeague 3
5/31/2024Paul BentleyA8-21LOSS-13LeagueLeague 3
5/24/2024Mick RamsayH16-21LOSS-5LeagueLeague 3
5/17/2024Tony GouldA18-21LOSS-3LeagueLeague 3
5/10/2024Nigel LoweH15-21LOSS-6LeagueLeague 3
5/3/2024Amanda JonesA9-21LOSS-12LeagueLeague 3
4/26/2024John ShawA21-9WIN+12LeagueLeague 3
8/18/2023Dave EatonA14-21LOSS-7LeagueLeague 3
8/11/2023Brian ChellamH19-21LOSS-2LeagueLeague 3
7/31/2023vs Thingwall BA11-21LOSS-10LeagueLeague 3
7/14/2023Eddie CarvellA12-21LOSS-9LeagueLeague 3
7/7/2023Eddie CarvellH8-21LOSS-13LeagueLeague 3
7/3/2023vs PoultonA11-21LOSS-10LeagueLeague 3
6/30/2023Harry RobinsonH21-20WIN+1LeagueLeague 3
6/23/2023vs Bebington ParkA6-21LOSS-15LeagueLeague 3
6/16/2023Nigel WardH21-12WIN+9LeagueLeague 3
6/12/2023vs Oxton ArgyleH10-21LOSS-11LeagueLeague 3
6/2/2023Christine AutyA8-21LOSS-13LeagueLeague 3
5/26/2023Ronald WhyteH21-7WIN+14LeagueLeague 3
5/22/2023Cliff WallA20-21LOSS-1LeagueLeague 3
5/19/2023Zoe NunnH21-15WIN+6LeagueLeague 3
5/12/2023Colin TurnerH21-20WIN+1LeagueLeague 3
5/5/2023Colin TurnerA11-21LOSS-10LeagueLeague 3
4/28/2023Lee NaylorH11-21LOSS-10LeagueLeague 3
4/21/2023Nick WoodwardA5-21LOSS-16LeagueLeague 3
8/26/2022vs Oxton ArgyleH21-12WIN+9LeagueLeague 3
8/19/2022Keith BartonA17-21LOSS-4LeagueLeague 3
8/8/2022vs Thingwall BH8-21LOSS-13LeagueLeague 3
8/5/2022John ShawA21-13WIN+8LeagueLeague 3
7/29/2022Linette NashA21-19WIN+2LeagueLeague 3
7/22/2022Eddie ShiffH21-6WIN+15LeagueLeague 3
7/8/2022Mally LloydH16-21LOSS-5LeagueLeague 3
7/4/2022Roger HamerH9-21LOSS-12LeagueLeague 3
7/1/2022Sioux McgookinA16-21LOSS-5LeagueLeague 3
6/10/2022Lynn MountfordA5-21LOSS-16LeagueLeague 3
5/30/2022vs Great MeolsH21-14WIN+7LeagueLeague 3
5/27/2022Neil HenningA15-21LOSS-6LeagueLeague 3
5/16/2022Linda HowardH12-21LOSS-9LeagueLeague 3
5/6/2022Colin TurnerA16-21LOSS-5LeagueLeague 3
4/29/2022Bill ClaytonH11-21LOSS-10LeagueLeague 3
4/22/2022Linda BiggsA21-13WIN+8LeagueLeague 3
8/13/2021Margie VickersH14-21LOSS-7LeagueLeague 3
8/6/2021Dave BibbyA10-21LOSS-11LeagueLeague 3
8/2/2021vs Thingwall BH5-21LOSS-16LeagueLeague 3
7/30/2021Mick RamsayA10-21LOSS-11LeagueLeague 3
7/16/2021Geoff MillichipA18-21LOSS-3LeagueLeague 3
7/12/2021Eileen HumeH21-6WIN+15LeagueLeague 3
7/9/2021Nigel WardA10-21LOSS-11LeagueLeague 3
7/5/2021Kath DaviesH11-21LOSS-10LeagueLeague 3
7/2/2021Keith GentleH13-21LOSS-8LeagueLeague 3
6/28/2021Ian FordA3-21LOSS-18LeagueLeague 3
6/21/2021vs Great MeolsA8-21LOSS-13LeagueLeague 3
6/18/2021Paul BentleyH11-21LOSS-10LeagueLeague 3
6/14/2021Ian HawesA18-21LOSS-3LeagueLeague 3
6/4/2021Marie RevansH9-21LOSS-12LeagueLeague 3
5/28/2021Robert BibbyA16-21LOSS-5LeagueLeague 3
5/24/2021Dave FinlayH13-21LOSS-8LeagueLeague 3
Cec Hannay Rose Bowl5 games · 0W
20261 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 32 RoundEthel (etty) JonesTixall B10-21LOSSLOST
20242 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 32 RoundRoy WalkerBromborough Pool16-21LOSSWON
Round of 16 RoundAlan SmithManor Road B4-21LOSSLOST
20232 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 32 RoundPaul FouldsPensby B20-21LOSSWON
Round of 16 Round* Anthony ThompsonManor Road5-21LOSSLOST
Cartwright Cup3 games · 2W
20262 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary RoundRob NunnNew Brighton Quarry Vikings D21-16WINWON
Quarters RoundEllie WoodCammell Laird21-9WINLOST
20251 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary RoundGraham BuntingNew Brighton Quarry Vikings B12-21LOSSLOST

Current Streak

2wins

On a hot run

Longest Win Run

6

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

10

Career worst losing streak

Last 580% win rate
WWLWW
Last 1080% win rate— steady
WWLWWWWWWL
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Thingwall B0330%7/31/2023
Colin Turner12333.3%5/12/2023
Neil Henning11250%7/27/2026
Eddie Shiff202100%6/22/2026
Jeremy Bradshaw0220%6/8/2026
Pat Mcloughlin11250%5/9/2025
Bill Clayton0220%8/2/2024
Bebington Park11250%6/21/2024
Paul Bentley0220%5/31/2024
Mick Ramsay0220%5/24/2024
Biggest Win
John Kayll (+20)8/11/2025
Heaviest Defeat
Ian Ford (-18)6/28/2021
Nemesis
Thingwall B0-3 H2H
Best Season
202563% · 19 matches
Worst Season
20216% · 16 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
23% → 54%improving
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
67597 known · 16 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
0-20% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
40-5542% win rate
League 338.9%
44W·69L·113 played

Debut

May 24, 2021

Latest

Aug 21, 2026

Seasons Active

6 (5.2 yr span)

Matches / Season

18.8 (113 total)

Seasons

202120222023202420252026